Above image taken by NOAA's AVHRR satellite shows active sea ice in the Lincoln Sea and North of Greenland. Current weather pattern support thick MYI drifting towards Fram Strait and Greenland Sea. A huge lead opened already end of February, but was closed later by changing wind directions.[MORE]
The GFS model suggests Fram Strait Export might continue up to a week from now. Once the ice is no longer connected with the shore it moves much faster with the wind. This region is still quite cold: -30°C or less. Over open water the heat flux easily reaches several hundreds of Watt per square meter.